| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Thu Sep 22 2005 10:59 PM |
Re: Patience and caution
|
Quote:
Well look a the guidence, Hugh - almost every one of them is recurving toward the coast now!
Not pretty if it stalls over TX.
http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png
Yeah I saw the guidance. Some models move it southwes, others east and then south, some pretty much not at all. I also realized that the NHC forecast points for day 3 through 5 show NO MOVEMENT. Not good for Texas as you said.
But worse could be if it actually does manage to backtrack and get into the Gulf. We'd have an Ivan situation, except much quicker potentially. I don't see that happening but I didn't see it happening with Ivan either.