danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sat Sep 24 2005 09:51 PM
Extended Models

Mention of another tropical entity for the latter part of the week. I have inserted the full word in ( ) where applcable to the discussion.

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 443 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005 edited~danielw

VALID 12Z WED SEP 28 2005 - 12Z SAT OCT 01 2005

...ON DAYS 6/FRI AND 7/SAT...THE TROP WAVE PASSING THRU FL IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE NOON 09/23 COORD CALL WITH TPC. IF THE DAY 7/SAT MEDR(medium range model) THINKING IN THE E PANS OUT...THE SYS WILL ENCOUNTER SHEAR AS IT PASSES THRU FL AND ENTERS THE GOMEX. THE 00Z ECMWF CARRIES A LOW WITH SLIGHTLY SLOWER TIMING EWD(??) THRU THE CARIBBEAN AT THAT TIME...SO THEIR IS STILL SUPPORT IN THE PREFFERED OP MODELS FOR THE SYS.

http://kamala.cod.edu/HPC/latest.fxus02.KWNH.html