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Here is what the afternoon TWD mentions about the wave in the Caribbean: CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 13N70W. THE WAVE HAS BEEN REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY TO THE E BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE ABC ISLANDS REPORTING LIGHT SW OR NW WINDS. PRESSURES FALLS ARE OCCURRING WITH THIS WAVE THOUGH THE CONVECTION PATTERN IS DISORGANIZED. A BAND OF TSTMS MOVING AWAY FROM THE WAVE IS ALONG 17N71W TO 15N75W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CLOSER TO THE BROAD LOW FROM 13N-15.5N BETWEEN 66W-71W. WITH THE ITCZ SO FAR TO THE NORTH IN THE EPAC.. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS WAVE WILL ENCOUNTER A CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE W CARIBBEAN IN A COUPLE DAYS. |