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99L has been upgraded to a "Special Feature" in the latest TWD: ...SPECIAL FEATURE... CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 75W/76W S OF CUBA WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N. OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOY 42058 SUGGEST THERE IS A WEAK LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WITH WLY WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED...THOUGH THOSE WINDS ARE LIKELY ENHANCED BY DOWNDRAFTS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW BANDING FEATURES DEVELOPING ON THE N SIDE OF THE WAVE WITH SYMMETRIC OUTFLOW. THIS AREA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE WNW IS LIKELY... PLACING THE SYSTEM IN THE W CARIBBEAN LATE WED/EARLY THU. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 74W-78W. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR JAMAICA LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. They also have two recon flights scheduled for tomorrow on the latest recon POD. |