Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Fri Sep 30 2005 11:48 AM
Re: latest TWO

Looks like they are no longer calling for the upper-level winds to become more favorable for 99L, but it is certainly possible that a depression will form anyway. It certainly seems to be windier down there today... a few reporting stations are reporting sustained winds of around 15 knots. Yesterday, surface winds were lighter and the flight-level winds on the recon weren't getting above 15 knots.

Sounds like they are about ready to pull the trigger on 90L... if it maintains its current organization for another 6 hours, it could be named a depression on the next advisory.

I'm not sure how the little low in the Gulf could have become "less organized". Looks like it will merely remain a curiosity until it moves inland somewhere.

Based on the official forecast, it looks like Hurricane Otis could eventually have some impact on Baja California and the southwestern U.S. The 120-hr forecast has a weakening depression on the Arizona/Mexico border.



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