Oh my gosh I was right yest aft - 99L is headed for GOM according to 5:30pm update and latest sat images. But I did think the center of circ was further N than it turned out to be. But happily it won't hit the loop current; instead to continue to go west into all that dry air. I think recon would find a TD. Probably Dennis, Emily, Katrina, and Rita blew the recon budget for 2005.

Note -- if you can check out a sat image of typhoon Longwang, check it out...it is similar in strength right now to what Katrina was before she hit LA, and also has the same large eye, although it seems more compact than Katrina.