Agree with the model mess, they're not picking up the details because things are slowly evolving, and there are day-to-day changes. Models at 12Z now show a large area of low pressure from NE Florida throughout the entire GOM, with interspersed areas of lower pressure. They may focus in better in the next couple of days, or not. Still watching the convoluted area from Bermuda and south. Think something will eventually come of this, but exactly when and where to not easy. Seems TD 20 should catch fire, but I thought it would have happened by now. EPAC development should be translating to Atlantic development, but thought that would have started to occur already. A slow evolution right now, but things may change as soon as the ridge settles in. Cheers!!