There is some very intense convection being generated by Stan at the moment. The center is somewhere underneath the CDO, but I don't know exactly where. It is in an environment where rapid intensification is possible. It'll be interesting to see what the next recon plane shows.

The disturbed weather east of the Bahamas still doesn't look very tropical at the moment. Whether or not the upper-level winds become more favorable or not as it gets closer to the coast depends partially on what happens with Stan. If Stan becomes stronger than anticipated and/or moves slower than anticipated, both of which are possible, then the outflow from Stan could cause a greater amount of shear to the east.

The system classified as 91L looks like a nice, compact system right now, but the latest SHIPS output predicts doom for it rather quickly, so it may never amount to anything.