I've been tracking Stan since it left the Yucatan. The NHC at 1600cdt still have it tracking WSW, but as far as I can see it made a big turn towards the south from it's previous position. What's driving it at the moment? Has a pressure system to the SE slipped eastward allowing Stan to turn behind it and move south? I'm a novice so I'm just guessing. Looks like it could hit category one on the 2200 if I'm wrong. If it does continue south and start to pick up friction from the coast then maybe it won't.

Check out the Google Earth plot on my site.