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Buoy 41010, located about 120 miles east of Cape Canaveral, recently reported sustained winds of 29 knots with gusts to 35 knots. Given the tight pressure gradient that seems to be in place north of 92L, anything that organizes enough to be deemed tropical would have a good chance of producing minimal tropical storm force winds almost immediately. In some sense, it is a tropical storm waiting to happen, but there is no guarantee of tropical organization before it reaches Florida and no strong indication of anything like that so far. Unless there is an unexpected rapid increase in organization, the actual weather dealt to to Florida would likely not be much different whether or not it happens to become classified as a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours. |