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Poor HPC, they seem as confused as the rest of us...LOL: PASSAGE OF ANOTHER DAY HAS DONE LITTLE TO IMPROVE THE CONFIDENCE OF THE FCST. EVOLUTION OF THE FEATURE INITIALLY NEAR THE BAHAMAS REMAINS IN DOUBT... WITH SOME GUIDANCE HINTING THAT A PORTION OF THIS FEATURE MAY BREAK OFF AND SUPPORT A FRONTAL WAVE THAT TRACKS NEAR THE EAST COAST BY FRI-SAT... WITH REMAINING ENERGY HEADING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TO SUPPORT ANOTHER SFC LOW WHICH COULD MEANDER OVER THE SERN GULF FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD OR BE PICKED UP THE THE SFC FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NW. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD... THE 00Z GFS IS ON ITS OWN WITH THE EXTENT TO WHICH IT PUSHES HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE EXTREME SE... WITH OTHER MDLS KEEPING LOWER SFC PRESSURES ALONG THE SE COAST. Our house was to be painted tomorrow. Looks like next week for that. |