Clark
(Meteorologist)
Thu Oct 06 2005 08:32 PM
Re: rundown

Cyclone phase diagrams on the Azores low:

GFS
(working out bugs in the display script on the Canadian, UKMET, and NOGAPS...expect evolution to be similar in each)

Doesn't really show much of anything, though it does suggest the low-level structure of the storm may be trying to become a little bit more warm-core with time.

Upper trough over Central Atlantic is being fed by the upper-level heating due to the outflow from Tammy remnants (more appropriately, the outflow from the convective bursts that fire up underneath strong diffluence aloft)...as long as that keeps up, I don't expect to see it work its way down or for 94L to really get going. Might've been classifiable as a TD overnight, but the overall organization is on the decrease I think. Circulation center with 93L is on the northern edge of the convection now, whereas it had been displaced to the north, but the overall growth of this one probably won't be tropical. The whole mess -- the upper-low, Tammy's remnants, and 93L -- should get picked up and accelerated toward the NE over the next couple of days. Could be an interesting coastal storm...probably not, though.



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