hmmm... 93L sorta troughed out. you can still see it east of florida, but it doesn't look like anything trying to develop at this point. 94L and 95L are still out there. they switched appearances today as 95L looks elongated within its tiny anticyclone inside a trough environment. 94L finally has the convective appearance it's been lacking for the last 2-3 days but is now just about into the shear zone. lot of the models are keeping a big low pressure near hispaniola and slingshotting 95L around it towards the mid-atlantic states next week. most show it as a wave... a couple have a closed low. add up the odds and it still looks like something should develop out of all this... pattern would support it, and there are several individual features that could serve as an initiator. of course nothing says it has to happen. HF 0433z08october
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