Clark
(Meteorologist)
Sun Oct 09 2005 03:57 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic

The 18Z models were initalized at 60kt -- 70mph -- with a pressure of 991mb. Wouldn't be surprised to see it peak at minimal hurricane intensity; it has the organization to do so and rapid swings up and down are possible with these very small tropical cyclones. It'll probably go out in a hurry when it does, but it's pretty close to some of those "furthest east" records right now.

Edit: they did go with 65kt/75mph -- hurricane intensity -- at 5p. It's not so much that the storm has intensified (though it probably has a little) as they are likely catching up to it's prior intensity.



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