Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sun Oct 09 2005 07:06 PM
Re: Hurricane Vince forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic

Quote:

Ok Hugh.
My question it´s because on tv, here in Porto, thay said de notice. When we see the images of Katrina we think the same problems in Portugal. But, your experience tell is not possible the same problems with Vince!?
May be, only a lot of rain?




Josef,

I'm not going to tell you that it's not possible that Portugal could experience the same types of things that the Gulf Coast had happen with Katrina, because I can't predict the future. However, it's extremely likely that Vince will weaken before it impacts Europe. Even if it maintained the current intensity, that is significantly weaker than Katrina was when it slammed into Louisiana and Mississippi. Not that a hurricane in Europe can ever be considered "weak" of course.

One thing of note... yesterday no one was paying any attention to what is now Vince. It's possible that it couldd fissle out just as quickly as it formed and became semi-tropical - although I have to say looking at the satellite imagery it does not appear to be weakening... but it might even get a bit stronger in the very short term.