| Thunderbird12 |
| (Meteorologist) |
| Sat Oct 15 2005 02:52 AM |
Re: 98L
|
Actually, if you go by pressure, the 18Z GFDL makes 98L a cat 5 hurricane, with the pressure bottoming out at 910 mb in 114 hours. It also drifts the system WSW towards Honduras, though it keeps it offshore through 126 hours and starts to nudge it more to the NW at the end of the forecast period. The GFDL must be having a Mitch flashback.
The 00Z SHIPS run shows much more modest strengthening and the track models in the SHIPS output mostly show a W then WSW drift through 120 hours.