| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Sat Oct 15 2005 09:26 AM |
Re: Watching Near Jamaica
|
Quote:
Not quite ALL of the models - the UKMET and the GFDL both eventually turn the system northwestward as high pressure anchored to the north of the system eventually (and slowly) moves off to the east. I'll post some thoughts on this system in a new Met Blog.
ED
I see what you mean, Ed... but that's still not due north like Lyons seemed to imply. All of the models on Skeetobite's site have it eventually making landfall between El Salvador and the Yucatan... well, UKMET now that I look closely has it just missing the Yucatan.
Looking at the visible loops, I'm not convinced that it even develops a circulation before it heads into the EPac. I keep thinking of the last system we had in this area that eventually just fell apart. Of course I'm looking at big satellite loops - why does NRL always have problems whenever there is a developing system????
