Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sat Oct 15 2005 06:19 PM
Re: Watching Near Jamaica

Quote:

New 12Z GFDL has 98L reaching 150 kt major hurricane status moving N-NW toward the western tip of Cuba in 126 hrs.
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-...;hour=Animation




150kts isn't just a major huricane. It's a Katrina/Rita hurricane (150 kts = 172.5 mph).
That's an ominous forecast at this point in time. Unfortunately, the intensity models this season have not been that far off - predicting the rapid intensification of both Katrina and Rita.

Has a single Atlantic Basin season EVER had 3 cat 5 hurricanes before? It's premature to say that we'll have cat 5 Wilma in a few days :?: but... if it happens... I may have to seriously contemplate moving to Alaska!



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