typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Sat Oct 15 2005 03:15 PM
Re: Watching Near Jamaica

Quote:

URNT11 KNHC 151902
97779 18554 70195 82400 58100 07017 56801 /4591
RMK AF309 01IIA INVEST OB 05

should be dropping in alt... they were at the outer bands on this report....expect vortex next

also some new strong storms flaring up..... now that center is away from island.... water is warm.... but alot warmer in to the north!




Sure is! I'm sure you must be aware of this but the unique underwater topography of that section of the Caribbean, where the open abyssal walls against the archipelago, is a trap zone for warm currents. As a result, perinnially that is one of the hottest areas of sst on the planet, and also can bost some of the deeper thermocline. Small by comparison to the western Pacific in terms of surface area, but it is quite deep.

I'd be real surprised if the vortex message didn't contain favorable status...



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