yep, though that looks little too weak considering what she will have to work with for the first 72 hours anyway.. where as the former runs looked too strong for climatology as well as her margin for success was razor thin in the GFDL - anywhere outside that spatial-temporal arrangement wouldn't do it.

Also, there is some question in my mind whether said weakness in the n gulf, associated with approaching trough from nw, will even be amplified enough to really get wilma actively "moving" n.. she may just get tugged, then abandoned - i believed that was mentioned on this forum recently, anyway.