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11am or 5pm? Probably when recon will go out there but the system over the last 6 hrs has gotten better organized with convection now almost completely over the center. Pressures are near 1002mb which would normally = 45mph but this is a large oval system so I would take off 5 mph for now and call it a possible 40mph. Sat obs also support 40mph at this time. Bouys dont show any winds over 25kt but there probably is near the deep convection at least. Overall its very close to TS status. |