Great explanation, and thanks.
Part of the reason in the further westward track is that the TD is drifting toward the West.
See the "XTRAP" line on the SWFMD plots. XTRAP is the direction of storm movement over ' x ' time frame.

One of the above posts explained the other question. In regards to the "Right Turn, Clyde". A cool front has passed throught the Lower Mississippi Valley and is currently along a Mobile-Panama City-Jacksonville Line. As this front pushes south, it should or could act as the 'deflector' for any low level tropical system.
Low level being a TD or TS. Anything above TS status has a tend to overrun a weak cool front.

Further explanation is probably better left to one of the METs.
As they deal with this daily and I am not qualified to make that call.