danielw
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| (Moderator) |
| Sun Oct 16 2005 09:57 PM |
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Bear Watch
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Quote:
IMHO anyone from the Keys to roughly NO needs to be paying attention to this thing right now - that's obviously a HUGE swath of real estate, but looking in on this system at least daily right now would not be a bad idea. In the next 3-4 days a significant part of that area can probably be eliminated from consideration - but right now that would not be prudent.
My best guess right now is that IF it develops as expected the most likely path is east of north from the Yucatan channel - that is based on the synoptics and climatology. Looking at the current upper-air pattern there is no solid support for anything more specific than that which I can find - but I don't do this for a living, I'm a hobbyist......
I'm with you on the area of concern and I'm a hobbyist.
If you live along the Gulf Coast, from New Orleans to Key West, and up the Eastern FL Coast to Jacksonville.
Please keep a close eye on this one.
Charley-like behavior is not out of the question. Proximity to land, possible tracks and cool fronts all throw the models off to some degree.
If you aren't sure about your "Hurricane Kit" and it's contents. Give them a check in the next 24 hours.
Hopefully No One will need a kit. But just in case.
After being here through all of the 2004 season. And seeing and hearing what people went through.
I thought my kit was okay prior to Katrina. I had No Clue..believe me.