Hmm models trending west does not mean that they will not trend east again once this develops. Low intensity systems such as waves and depressions and for the most part tropical storms usually move westward until they develop into more intense hurricanes, then they tend to move more polar. While I have over simplified this, with ridges, troughs etc also playing their role, its not usual to see what is occuring happening. The storm hasnt picked up much steam as earlier models thought, and have corrected themselves with each model run. Does that mean that this wont be picked up by a trough and moved to the north and east ? Sure it does not.

I think I can say is that I appreciate everyone's responses, those who go out on a limb and 'speculate". Its important to think out of the box and noone should be put down for doing so. What is important is the sharing of ideas and thoughts, in a constructive manner. The moderators do a great job and the meteorologists point out when we they think we are off base.