Steve H1
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean

Actually there are three that call for it moving into the GOM. THe 6Z GFS now has it crossing west central Florida as well as the CMC. The Euro also moves it into the southern GOM after brusing it into the Cozumel. The NOGAPS and UKMET have the western solution across the Yucatan. The NOGAPS doesn't strengthen Wilma much at all, but it hasn't since Friday. So the Camp is split down the middle. Problem is IMO, its a slow mover, and if it waits in the GOM for a shortwave to pick it up it could be a problem. But this is all speculation. For all we know it could plow into Honduras and fizzle as a TS. Future runs will vaisilate back and forth. We'll wait and see. Cheers!!

You're right; the 6Z GFDL has shifted right; further right than the NHC path, and much quicker.



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