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Well there goes the impressive convection off to the south again. At first glance it looked like our errant toddler of a TS had decided to make a beeline for Nicaragua when most of us weren't watching, but looking at the circulation and then the upper level winds for the last 24 hrs convinced me she is still going nowhere. The dry air has impinged on the outflow to the NW, but the boundary between them is not moving, and there is still good outflow. I have to admit this really is painfully slow development; patience is still the order of the day. So, we'll have to see what another 24-48 hours brings. |