Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Mon Oct 17 2005 11:30 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean

Steve, you are correct... I meant to say to the right, though I managed to actually say completely the opposite of what I meant. I corrected the original post to avoid any further confusion.

I am also reminded of Mitch with this storm. As I recall, at least some models kept insisting that Mitch would take a turn to the N and NE, but it never happened. Whether or not Wilma becomes strong enough to significantly impact the environmental steering currents remains to be seen. Also, having a large, cutoff upper low over the SW U.S. increases the uncertainty in the eventual synoptic pattern, since models can have difficulty with the movement and intensity of such features after they cutoff from the main flow.



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