doug
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Oct 17 2005 12:20 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean

Don't see any cases here over the last 36 hours that this system WILL NOT recurve...so if there is such a case I would like to hear that one...The first ridge will erode to the SW and then the replacement ridge, and weaker ridge will be moved east by the next trough which is pretty vigorous over the SW CONUS now..that will creat the weakness to the NE and recurvature...this is the prevailing understanding.
So If there is a case for the recurvature not occuring please let us know...



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