| Thunderbird12 |
| (Meteorologist) |
| Mon Oct 17 2005 06:33 PM |
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean
|
The latest SHIPS model (18Z run) has Wilma up to 99 knots in 96 hours, then back down to 90 knots at 120 hours, which would be near landfall time. The initial intensity was set at 45 knots, so NHC appears to be anticipating that Wilma has intensified from the 40 knots on the 11AM advisory.
The initial intensity was set to almost due south (190 degrees) at 3 kts. I am having a hard time making out any motion from the satellite loop myself, since the center is obscured.