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I know it is still extremely early to ask this, but I will anyway. IF Wilma comes to visit the central/south west coast of Florida, what is our best guess as to the intensity? I am hearing cat 2 locally.
I'm NOT a met, so don't hold me to this, but... best guess.... Cat 2, probably on the order of 100mph. If the storm turns NE, it will be because of the trough, which will bring shear with it, so it's likely that Wilma will be on the downswing as it makes landfall on the peninsula.... IF it makes landfall on the peninsula.
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