scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Tue Oct 18 2005 01:14 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean

Remember that the system will be moving almost inline with the shear,,,so that wont weaken it as much as the slightly cooler water temps........Thing is,,,when will Wilma peak out at and where? Thurs night sounds good to me.... then with her eyewall getting sheared over and pressure rises from its lows of Thurs night due to Friday daytime dur, shear and cooler water temps,,,expect anywhere from 20mph-30mph weaker during the day. Friday night she might just hold the intensity when she moves along almost with the shear flow.
I know it might sound confusing to some but everything is speculation,,even in the next 24 hours as she hasnt gone NW yet and isnt forecasted to until tomorrow night. My offical forecast wont be until Weds night.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center