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Right now I would say the winds are getting up to a strong TS possibly near 70mph but would think the 11pm adv be 60mph due to no recon in there. Pressure still around 988mb on latest quicksat pass but wouldnt be surprised if its slightly lower.
I can't understand the recon schedule with this thing. Looking at the IR4 loop I think youi're right about the winds, and without a recon to confirm it, they probably will stay on the low side. They need the plane to sample the atmosphere, though, to feed into the computer models so we have a better idea about where this is going!
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Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean