Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Mon Oct 17 2005 11:00 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean

Quote:

I posted it 10 min ago and hugh got it just before me.




Discussion not out yet that I can find, I'm waiting to read it and then going to bed. I'm curious as to what they say, but I suspect it will be status quo, actually.

Edit: Well, the discussion is out now. Interesting tidbit:
As is often the case... however... the
models greatly disagree on how sharply Wilma will turn and how fast
it will move after recurvature. Most of the models are now much
faster after recurvature... but the new official forecast will only
be adjusted part of the way between the previous advisory and the
latest dynamical model consensus. Conditions appear conducive for
steady strengthening while Wilma remains in the northwestern
Caribbean Sea... and it still appears probable that Wilma will
become a major hurricane. Thereafter... increasing shear should
halt intensification and begin to induce gradual weakening... but
not enough to weaken Wilma beneath hurricane intensity within the
five-day time frame.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center