This is from Monday Afternoon's:
EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
212 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2005 (edited~danielw)

ENOUGH OF A TROUGH EXISTS IN THE OH VLY/EAST FROM DAY 5 /SAT AM/ ONWARD TO ALLOW
WILMA RECURVE ALONG A CLIMO TRACK ACRS THE FL PENINSULA.
MOST OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW LANDFALL BETWEEN FORT MYERS AND TAMPA...BUT THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCERTAIN FOR TIMING THIS FAR OUT IN TIME WITH VARIOUS MODELS ONE DAY ON EITHER SIDE OF THE PROGGED TIME OF LANDFALL. THE LONGER THE SYS TAKES TO ENTER THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE FARTHER SOUTH THE POINT OF LANDFALL COULD BE IN THE FL PENINSULA.

This is considered somewhat old data. But it breaks down the scenario at hand a bit better.~danielw