Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Oct 18 2005 08:06 AM
Re: Wilma Nears Hurricane Strength

Quote:


I'm afraid that I need to take part of the blame too! This weekend I put the kids' trampoline back up. Hubby even pointed out to me that do so was nothing more than an invitation.
~Laura



What were y'all THINKING?!?!? You plan outdoor activities in Florida for DECEMBER, when hurricane season is (officially) past!

Good news I suppose - the 8am intermediate advisory is out. Pressure is estimated to be down to 980, but winds are only 70, meaning we'll have to wait until a recon is in there probably before we have the latest hurricane of the 2005 season. I don't remember ever seeing a pressure that low on a tropical storm, but this season has been weird, and the pressures in NW Caribbean are quite low.

The northwest turn has been sooner than forecast, I think. What does this mean? Possibly nothing. CNN was spouting off about "the westerlies" this morning, saying that when a hurricane gets into the northern GOM, it turns east because of the westerlies. Tell the people of New Orleans about "the westerlies". In this case, the computer models are forecasting an east turn by Wilma, but it's because of a trough. Troughs are common this time of year, certainly, but to say that storms generally turn east in the GOM is at best stretching the truth, and closer to an outright lie, if you leave off the climatology behind it (troughs), which he did.

Of course, my head hurts so that might effect my judgement this morning.
:?:


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