Well, you've been so great at posting useful info I guess the rest of us havne't felt the need to post

Anyway...

While waiting for the 12z runs to be posted on the FSU anim site, you can still see very good convergence of the 12z runs over at http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/ - it looks like this storm is angling right through the only non-land area between Cuba and the Yucatan and will almost definately make a right hook at FL. The question is intensity. Once the storm pulls away from the Carribean and the loop current, there isn't much warm water in the gulf to sustain it. I'd expect weakening prior to landfall. The system's speed may be a major factor in how much weakening we'll see, and it has still a ways to go before it reaches full strength.

--RC