I believe that everything that was said about speed and intensity was speculation when it was said. The real facts have to do with current conditions in the Caribbean are subject to change at the drop of a hat. So, the best rule of thumb is to keep watching at least one up date per day. The CFHC site is full of meterologists and very knowlegeable undergraduates who can make very educated guesses without having all the data available. Prepare for the worst, expect the worst, and then relax and follow the news. This site is very good for actual updates on the main page. If you do not take the postings with a grain of salt, you will be making yourself crazy.