Basically, it's a whole lot of weather info that recon gets + troughs, lows, fronts, ridges, etc., that the models put in.
I think the best thing to do is look at the "cone" and try to figure out the middle...not the line...but the middle. The next model runs will be important because I think they will finally have some concrete information to put in there.
However, with a storm as big as Wilma is...and I think it's going to get bigger....the TS force winds extend out 120 miles (60 miles on either side of the eye). That's a lot of real estate for the size of the state of Florida, that's for sure.