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It's almost pointless to worry about what the models say at 120 hours, it's nice to know it to be prepared or be aware, but at this point, a shift of 100+ miles will not be out of the question or even unlikely over the next 24 hours. Particularly as the storm behaves in ways that change the initializations of the newer model runs. So, yes, everyone is right. the storm could go to tampa or down through Naples, it could hit the keys or panama city (both of which I think are unlikely, but you never know). As I said earlier, it's simply a storm and it's still several days away. We will have plenty of time to freak out in the days ahead -Mark |