oil trader
(Weather Watcher)
Tue Oct 18 2005 04:30 PM
Re: Just some thought....yea right...

Quote:

Also those that think more of a west movement will bring it more north in florida that is not true it will delay it coming to florida which in turn will move it more south.Its all about the timing.The longer it stays down there the more chance it has to turn NE early.




All models agree right now with a landfall in Florida.

Is there anything that can change the recurvature to NE and keep holding the path of the storm straight to NW or N?

Can we say that TX, LA, MS and AL are pretty safe for the moment? I mean the accurancy of the models is similar forecasting a 180 degree turn than a soft change in direction of less than 90 degree ?