Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Oct 18 2005 07:40 PM
Re: Vortex message

Quote:

Guys, a jog is a jog is a jog.....I wouldn't get so excited about it.

Yes....Wilma is spinning up quite rapidly.
She has a tight eye like Mitch did - and in the same area of the Caribbean.




Oh, I'm not "excited" about the jog. If it extends to more than just a jog, I'll be intrigued a bit, though.
I don't remember ever looking at a WV image of Mitch, much less at its strongest period, but Wilma certainly looks stronger than 80 mph - I'd estimate closer to 105 based on the satellite.

Looking at the U.S. national water vapor loop... the trough appears to me to be oriented almost due N/S right now. How is this going to push the storm ENE or NE? The trough also looks like it will take longer to make an impact than I would have expected given the forecast. If I were in the Yucatan, I'd be a bit nervous.