Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Tue Oct 18 2005 07:50 PM
Re: Vortex message

The 7pm advisory raises the intensity to 85 knots (100 mph). Looks like they went for the by-the-book reduction of max flight-level winds, which is probably a conservative estimate. The 82 kt surface winds in the southern eyewall, which figures to be the weaker side of the system, would argue for something higher than 85 kts.