Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Wed Oct 19 2005 12:04 AM
Re: Vortex message

Quote:

"At this rate", Wilma will be a category 4 storm in the next 6-12 hours. How long the storm can continue deepening at such a rate remains to be seen, though.




I know, Thunder... I was just reposting what Accuweather stated.

One thing we should keep in mind... several times, rapid intensification is followed by a leveling off, or even a rapid weakening trend. It's like a ballerina spinning rapidly. As she contracts, she spins faster, but when she finally topples over, she stops spinning. The analogy is not perfect of course, and it's likely that Wilma will only gradually weaken due to westerly shear once she gets into the SE GOM. Just something to watch for as we stay out of the way of yet another monster hurricane in 2005.



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