I'll jump on too!

I think the issue is non-backed up info. You posted that you believed the storm would hit Cat 4/5. That is all fine and good based on what the GFDL model was doing at the time, the problem is you didn't specify that you might have looked at the GFDL or indicated how SSTs would effect the storm strength, or whether there would be favorable atmospheric conditions, etc. If you give evidence to back up your acsertation, then the posts generally get left. If you don't, then the posts generally are sent to the graveyard as either "wishcasting" or "uncorroborated worry-mongering" - you get the idea

.

End result: If you're going to say something's going to become a monster, you better say why you feel that way based on conditions and/or models. In the same manner, one should do the same if they think a monster is going to dissipate to nothing before landfall. Anything that is well off of guidence needs some logic behind it, or it is usually graveyarded (just from what I've seen at least).

--RC