| Margie |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Wed Oct 19 2005 01:03 AM |
|
Re: Vortex message
|
Quote:
...the issue is non-backed up info.
If you give evidence to back up your acsertation, then the posts generally get left. If you don't, then the posts generally are sent to the graveyard as either "wishcasting" or "uncorroborated worry-mongering" - you get the idea.
End result: If you're going to say something's going to become a monster, you better say why you feel that way based on conditions and/or models.
--RC
I agree with that. I try to provide some basis. My post from 6:35a this morning, before Wilma was even a hurricane:
"...it is possible that Wilma is going to go higher than a Cat 3 in the Caribbean. This newest track is over some of the warmest deep waters that are left. However, NHC doesn't forecast this, and they know a lot more than I do, so we'll see, but I did see the word "intense" hurricane so I think that it's possible they're laying the ground for ramping up the intensity forecast."