Well there it is, from the 11pm:

IT IS PROBABLE THAT WILMA WILL STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

Have to add I laughed when I read the opening statement. In stressful situations like this the odd bit of humor that they can insert into the discussions is something I do appreciate. Seems like their formula is to put it in the first sentence and then get down to business.

An almost guaranteed ERC will make the next 36 hrs interesting. Also noted in the advis that my earlier take on the increase to Cat 4 coming Wed aft/evng appears to be the thinking at NHC as well (even if she peaks tonight/early tomorrow morning as a Cat 4 or 5, then an ERC, and possibly coming back up to a Cat 4 tomorrow when reaching the warmer deep water).