I think it is important not to get too sold on the idea of Wilma moving further north in the long term if it moves further west in the short term. The features that are steering it now are not the same as the feature that will potentially turn it NE. The sharpness of the digging trough will affect whether the deep layer steering flow becomes SW or more WSW. The short-term motion likely has little to do with how that will turn out. If it moves more west and less north than expected in the short-term, that could actually make it more likely to affact areas further south, depending on how things turn out.

The recon plane should be into the center of Wilma within the hour. It'll be interesting to see what it finds. While the cloud pattern is not quite as symmetric as earlier, it still continues with exceptionally deep convection in all quadrants with a small, well-defined eye. The pressure should be substantially lower than the last report, and may even be shockingly lower.