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http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/fp1_102.shtml 00z GFS landfall point is maybe just a hair further north than 18z. Will be interesting to see if it trends northward tomorrow or not. This run also brings Wilma in as a strong system, some tightly packed isobars. Also slows the storm down considerable with landfall in about 102 hrs, versus land fall in 90 hrs (which was was 18z showed). Interesting. Will certainly keep an eye on it tomorrow. Still feel that the models are wrong in terms of the trough, I expect a more NNE than ENE movement across the peninsula, but will have to wait and see if that bears out. |