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The latest supplemental vortex message still hints at an outer wind max, which still points to a looming ERC at some point. The supp vortex message also contained this note: Edit: Typcially, they can fly at 700 mb without too much of a problem even in really intense storms. Flying at 850mb can get dicey though, when the 850mb height drops to around 1500 feet or less. I take it they weren't expecting that much of a pressure drop. |