Doombot!
(Weather Guru)
Wed Oct 19 2005 05:48 AM
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 5 Hurricane

Quote:

Hello.. I just wanted to get some of your thoughts on being on the north side of this storm at the time of landfall..

Is there still a strong anticipation that the shear will be strong enough that areas north of the eye should not be affected that bad? Will this recent intensification alter that theory at all?

Thx... Eddie - Ft. Myers, FL





Eddie, I've got bad news for you, my brother - you are squarly in the highest likelyhood of getting a direct hit. Four day errors are measured in the hundreds of miles so you need to get ready for a direct hit.

The good news is that I just saved a bunch of money on my car insurance, and more importantly, yes the shear is forcast to weaken the storm later in the forcast period; however if weakens 20% and it peaks at 170MPH (which is very possible with a still deeping 901mb cane) then we are down to 130mph.

Get ready now.



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